The S&P 500 logged a big reversal in November to finish the month with a small gain, marking the seventh consecutive month of gains for the leading index.
The S&P 500 was down almost 4% going into the last week of November. From there, the index put together big rally, climbing almost 5% in the four-day Thanksgiving week to finish the month with a 0.25% gain. After logging its seventh consecutive monthly gain the S&P 500 is now up 15% on the year. Take a look at the 2025 chart below.
Here’s What I Expect Looking into December
Looking forward history shows a high probability the S&P 500 will deliver more gains in December.
Below is an excellent report from one of my favorite analysts Ryan Detrick with Carson Research.
“S&P 500 up more than 5% YTD heading into December? Turns out if it is also year one of the Presidential Cycle stocks have never been lower since WWII. That is 12 for 12 higher.”
This report also indicates that the S&P 500 tends to be stronger in the second half of the months. Take a look at the cool chart below.
The big picture on the S&P 500: The S&P 500 logged an impressive reversal in November, posting its seventh consecutive month of gains. As it stands, the S&P 500 is up 15% on the year and heading into a historically strong time of the year. Looking forward I am expecting a strong close to the year and the index to hit a new all-time high in the next four weeks.
I’ll be back with another update next week – have a great day!
Disclaimer: This report is for entertainment purposes only. Every investor should consult with an investment advisor before making investment decisions. The Vodicka Group, Inc. is not a broker/dealer. We do not receive compensation for mentioning stocks. At various times, the clients, publishers and employees of Vodicka Group, Inc., may buy or sell the securities discussed for purposes of investment or trading.
